The Asian Crisis in 1997-1998, Argentina’s default in 2001 and the current economic problems in Russia underline the continued importance of country risk analysis for banks and companies that do business in Emerging Markets. The “Country Risk Analysis (Macro-Economic Risk Indicators)” Summer School helps you to better understand what country risk is and how you can assess the risks in Emerging Markets. The opening lectures teach you different ways to conceptualize country risk and how analysts at banks write their reports. Then you learn how to analyse the economic indicators of Emerging Markets and their (inter)national context in a step-by-step process. These lectures provide insights into the levels of economic indicators, their changes and their impact on country risk. You write a country risk report with your group and give two talks.
The developments in Egypt over the past five years, the long civil war in Colombia and the current conflict in the Ukraine underline the continued importance of political risk analysis for banks and companies that do business in Emerging Markets. The “Country Risk Analysis (Political Instability)” Summer School helps you better understand what political risk is and how it can affect the economic growth potential of Emerging Markets. The opening lectures teach you different ways to conceptualize political risk and which domestic and international factors are important in this regard. Further lectures offer you insights into how the foreign policy strategy of a country can be linked to geopolitical scenarios, and how you can benefit from this approach. You also participate in a geopolitical scenario planning workshop, in which you can apply your newly acquired skills. The results of the workshop can be used for the report that you write with your group and that analyses a country of your choice. During the course, you give two talks about the political situation in that country.